Marc Leishman came from behind on Sunday to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational. It was a fitting way to end the first version of this event since Arnie passed away last September. The Top 64 available golfers in the world are playing in Houston for the WGC Dell Match Play. DraftKings isn’t offering a slate for that tournament but there’s a slate for the parallel tour event, the Puerto Rico Open.
Coco Beach is a Par 72 track that plays over 7,500 yards. In the past, the tournament winners have performed well in each facet of the game. The key stats I’ll be looking at this week include: Par 3 scoring, scrambling, GIR%, and Total Driving.
The Clear Studs ($9,000+)
Wesley Bryan ($10,800) is the most expensive play this week and will be high owned. Bryan has the best Par 3 BOB% out of this salary range but can struggle with accuracy off the tee to a certain extent. He’s a fine play but most likely a fade for me.
Luke List ($9,900) has the best overall BOB% out of anyone in this range. This event has the potential to become a birdie fest with recent tournaments going as low as -21. His distance will make up for his relative inaccurate drives on what appears to be a relatively open course. He’s currently 38th in strokes gained: approach.
Graham DeLaet ($10,600) is the second most expensive play of the week. What DeLaet is lacking around the green, he’s made up for off the tee in 2017. He currently sits at 14th in strokes gained off the tee. He’s also 38th in GIR% so far this year.
Mid-Price Plays ($7000-$9000)
Of the top priced guys in this range, take a look at JT Poston ($8,600) this week. He has the best over BOB% and Par 4 BOB% of anyone in this range. He did shoot a 64 at one point this year, so he’s proved that he can go low.
JJ Spaun ($8,200) has also had a 64 this year. Spaun doesn’t perform particularly well on Par 4s but is Top 25 on Par 3 BOB%. He is also one of the best golfers in the field at avoiding 3 putts which has been an indicator of success here in the past.
Robert Garrigus ($7,500) is another interesting play this week. He’s made 4/6 cuts this season in stronger fields. Garrigus is in the Top 25 of strokes gained off the tee on Tour this year. He’s also averaging over 4 birdies per round which is important on DraftKings.
Value Guys (Sub-$7000)
We are into deep flier territory at this point. To be honest, I am only rostering these guys as a way of differentiating if I go very top heavy.
Martin Flores ($6,800) has missed his last two cuts but played very well in California before that with two Top 30 finishes. Overall, Flores has made 6 cuts in his last 10 starts in much stronger fields. He’s currently 45th on Tour for strokes gained on approach shots.
Richy Werenski ($7,000) did miss the last two cuts in Florida but played well prior to that with a couple of Top 25 finishes in February. He’s been gaining strokes off the tee with his accuracy. Werenski is also currently at 42nd in GIR%.
Minimum Salary Play of the Week
Ryan Brehm ($5,900) comes in all the down at minimum salary this week. Brehm has made 5 straight cuts. He isn’t the best putter on Tour but he does perform well within ten feet. He’s also a bomber, currently 10th in driving distance. If his putter runs hot, I could see him performing well in a weak field.