Can Will Fuller Keep up the Pace?

When you think of the premier touchdown scorers in the NFL, players like Rob Gronkowski, Antonio Brown and Jordy Nelson come to mind instantly. Second-year receivers that are coming off injuries typically don’t fit the bill, but the Houston Texans’ Will Fuller is making a name for himself this season alongside rookie quarterback, Deshaun Watson.

Fuller currently leads the NFL in touchdown catches and has only played in four games this season. His touchdown efficiency is through the roof and every week analysts and writers are trying to predict when he will fall back down to earth. Here’s my take on the incredible fantasy football season Fuller is having and what to do with him moving forward.

Chemistry with Watson

Deshaun Watson has been a rookie sensation this season. Since taking over for Tom Savage in Week 1, Watson has thrown 19 touchdown passes and boasts a 103.0 passer rating. Will Fuller is a speedy, big-play receiver and is the beneficiary of seven of those touchdown passes since making his season debut in Week 4.

Watson has targeted Fuller 22 times in four weeks, which is small compared to Deandre Hopkins’ 49, but when he is targeted, he makes his receptions count. With only 13 catches on the season – 59 percent of his targets – 54 percent have been for touchdowns. Fuller continuously seems to find the end zone when Watson throws him the football. He averages just over three catches per game but is close to averaging two touchdowns at the same time. Fuller scored a touchdown in every game this season and scored twice every week except the Week 6 matchup against the Cleveland Browns.

Touchdowns

The stat that is keeping Fuller’s fantasy value sky-high is his touchdowns because without them he would be averaging only seven fantasy points per game. If you take Fuller’s stat line of 13 catches, 279 yards, and seven touchdowns and spread that over a 16-game season, you would get 52 catches, 1116 yards, and 28 touchdowns.

DeAndre Hopkins is the clear number one receiver in Houston as he accounts for 76 of Watson’s 204 attempts this season. Fuller – the overall WR9 in standard scoring – should come crashing down to reality within the upcoming weeks, but that doesn’t mean he won’t be a decent fantasy option.

Fantasy Outlook

Will Fuller seems to be another version of players like DeSean Jackson or Ted Ginn Jr. He has excellent speed but was plagued by drops during his rookie season. In his second year, he is on pace for only 66 targets this season leaving less opportunity for huge errors. He is averaging 17.5 points per game in standard scoring and 20.7 in PPR and has yet to score less than 12.2 in either format.

As many analyst and writers have said, it is impossible for Fuller to keep scoring touchdowns at this current rate, it just has to be, but it sure is fun to watch. Next week he faces a poor Indianapolis secondary and should be played in every format. He is a must-start wide receiver until he fails to score significant fantasy points. Even when he doesn’t score touchdowns it will be very hard not to play him just based on his potential from the last four weeks even with match-ups against the Rams and Ravens coming up in the next four games. For the rest of the season, Fuller will be a touchdown or bust WR2 against all opponents with an extremely high ceiling. Also, as long as Watson looks like the rookie of the year, Fuller will look like a viable receiving option. Defenses just can’t make Fuller their primary focus while DeAndre Hopkins is on the field.

Any questions, comments, or concerns? Follow me on twitter @DJFezler_TFR for weekly articles and daily news and discussion.