Exploiting Draft Room Rankings

Depending upon where you draft, what websites you read, or which magazines you’ve picked up in the last 3 months you could have seen several different sets of MLB Fantasy Rankings. If you’re drafting on one of the two biggest fantasy baseball sites, Yahoo or ESPN, you could see drastically different values between their official rankings, which are used as the default for your draft room. In fact, some players may be downright different.

Case & point is Kyle Schwarber, who is able to play catcher in Yahoo leagues, but not in ESPN leagues. That makes a HUGE difference on where you draft Schwarber. While that is a positional issue, what if there was some way we could exploit the actual rankings differential between these multiple sources?

Lucky for us, WE CAN, with a bit of elbow grease. Steamer basically does this. They take a look at the Yahoo Ranking, and the NFBC Ranking to make a composite. Then Steamer runs its prediction model for 2017 stats, and then gives each player their own ranking. Then they compare the two and give us the difference between how their predictive models rated it versus how the big sites rated them. With these predictive models, we can see where the big sites are failing to realize value, and we can capitalize on our opponents by taking these players ahead of them.

I’m going to focus on just the ESPN & Y! rankings and make a composite of their rankings. To be completely transparent, I’m going to post my TFR Top 200 Ranking in a column as well. Let’s see if there’s some rankings bias that can be easily seen. This week I am going to focus on hitters that you can exploit with this method, and then I will show off pitchers you can exploit at a later time.

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A Basic Primer to Roto Drafting

It’s every baseball nerd’s favorite time of year – Fantasy Baseball Season! I have done close to 15 mock and live roto drafts, and have found some notable things., both on the hitting and pitching side and I am excited to share them with you, in order to make you more successful come draft day. This article will be looking into rotisserie style leagues, so let’s get to it!

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PGA DFS: The Honda Classic

As the tour makes its way to PGA National in Palm Beach, Florida. PGA National is a Par 70 course that plays just over 7,000 yards. There will be some rain on Wednesday which could soften the greens a bit. But, the wind in the forecast could make an already difficult course even more difficult. We’ll be looking for strokes gained: tee to green, Par 3 and Par 4 scoring, and good drive percentage as our predictors of success.

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Eric Hosmer Isn’t Special

Eric Hosmer is currently ranked 96th on our site’s fantasy baseball rankings, but I have him at 144th overall, the lowest among our writers by over 50 spots. In turn, Hosmer’s current ADP according to Fantasypros is 107th, which means he is a 9th round pick in a 12 team league. Hosmer would be a solid utility or a center Infield play if he was going five rounds later, but he’s not worth tying up that spot when you could get Danny Duffy, Danny Salazar, or Evan Longoria in the same area.

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2017 American League Breakout Candidates

American League Breakout Team

As a fantasy baseball player, I know how easy it can be to go online and find a list of the Top 10 or Top 20 guys at each position.  Each of those lists rattles off the same roster of guys, sometimes in a different order, but the reality of fantasy baseball is that you have no chance of getting a Top 10 guy at each position.  If by some chance you have a league like that, please let me know if there is an opening because it’s a league I think I can win.

With Spring Training underway, I want to give you my own list; a full lineup of guys in the American League who are primed for breakout seasons in 2017.

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2017 Preseason Fantasy Baseball Rankings

The team of writers have finished their first set of preseason rankings for the 2017 fantasy baseball season. By using the links below you can view their top 200 or simply view position by position. If you have any questions as always please find us on Twitter @Fantasyreport_

Top 200

Starting Pitchers

Relievers

Outfielders

Catchers

Shortstop

First Base

Second Base

Third Base

 

The Bargain Bin: First Base

Nothing is much sweeter than getting a good deal, hence the reason for Black Friday sales or why car dealerships and mattress stores use Presidents’ birthdays to sell you stuff. While there may not be any crazy gimmicks or sales in fantasy baseball, the concept of finding a bargain is something that exists in fantasy baseball. Come draft day, players are always looking to acquire a valuable piece for their fantasy roster at a discount pick. This is where The Bargain Bin comes in. Each Wednesday up until the regular season starts, I will be covering a new position and three players of that position that you can draft outside the top 150 picks who will be more than good enough to use as your starter. This will help you focus on other areas to draft more strategically early on, and then you can scoop up one of these players to help compliment your roster towards the end.

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It’s okay to (Sun)Trust in Brandon Phillips in Atlanta

Roses are red, violets are blue.  Lets talk trades and call ups too.

Love is in the air.  It’s that special time of year when two becomes one and they spend the day showing each other how their relationship has grown.  Yes, its time for pitchers and catchers to report.

On the day when playing catch becomes official and pitchers and catchers arrive to their respective spring training homes, we have a big name on the move and another coming up into relevance.  Announced February 12th The Atlanta Braves has acquired second basemen Brandon Phillips from the Cincinnati Reds in exchange for pitchers Andrew Mckirahan and Carlos Portuondo.

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