It isn’t a secret that many people avoid playing Ben Roethlisberger on the road. The gap between his production at home and on the road is staggering over the past few years. Most people outright fade Roethlisberger in DFS when the Steelers are on the road. That’s obviously been a smart tactic since 2014 for DFS purposes. But it got me thinking about what, if anything, Roethlisberger’s road splits cost you in season-long leagues. In order to figure that out we need to unpack quite a bit. We’ll take a look at expected points based on ADP for quarterbacks, and then dive into some possibilities as to why Roethlisberger’s splits are the way they are.
There’s an old saying that says “No rest for the wicked.” Well then in that case, fantasy football commissioners must be some of the downright evil, terrible, disgusting people there are. As someone who is a commissioner of 3 leagues, I can tell you, each of them is a full time job in and of itself. Yes I know, the NFL season doesn’t start until September, but fantasy commissioner season has already begun. What are some tips for you to take away to make things easier or not fall behind? Read ahead my friends.
In this episode, Derrick and Stephen spend time catching up and discussing thoughts on the NFL draft and a bit of dynasty draft strategy.
Check out this episode!
Over the weekend, I started seeing former Toledo Rocket Kareem Hunt’s name popping up at seemingly noticeable increase. In the fantasy community, it stands to reason that this is largely due to Kansas City Chief’s reporter Adam Teicher sharing his belief that Hunt would likely take on the lead back role in Andy Reid’s offense. Full disclosure: I could not remember hearing his name before, and had to learn more about who this potential #1 at RB was as a player.
We heard his name on Day Two of the 2017 NFL Draft, when the Chiefs traded up to select him 86th overall. That being said, I think if we’re being honest with ourselves, many of you reading this might share in my honest lack of knowledge on all things Kareem Hunt. Well, fantasy footballers, not anymore. Let’s examine Hunt as a player, and try to determine how he can help your fantasy team this season should he in fact be the Kansas City Chief’s new #1 runner.
Quarterbacks need to throw, running backs need carries, and wide receivers need targets. We’re going to be focusing on wide receivers, so we’re looking for potential yardage and touchdowns. When it comes to projecting wide receiver production, though, there’s good news and bad news. The bad news is that touchdowns from year to year are one of the least sticky statistics in football. The good news is that air yards and target share can tell us a lot about wide receivers from year to year. If you aren’t familiar with air yards, it’s a metric that Josh Hermsmeyer created and used extensively in his work.
From a bird’s eye view, there should be plenty of opportunity in 2017. Twenty NFL teams lost more air yard production than they added back in free agency. Granted, this doesn’t account for rookies but it’s still a large portion of the league. The five teams with the most available air yards are listed below. While talent is certainly important, opportunity is still king in fantasy football so let’s go through a few of the top five and see the outlook in their wide receiver corps. Continue reading Targeting Wide Receiver Opportunity
The departure of Adrian Peterson marked the ending of an era for the Minnesota Vikings. Peterson had served as the team’s identity and most valuable player for almost every season he was healthy. But after missing the majority of 2016, the Vikings realized that he was no longer what the team needed.
With NFL’s the continued shift towards a more pass-heavy league, and with Peterson being notoriously out of place in passing situations, the need for a change in offensive philosophy became clear.
Enter Dalvin Cook. Continue reading Rookie RB Analysis: Dalvin Cook
The NFL Draft is in the books. By now, people have had a chance to digest and process all the rookies and their landing spots. The most important effect of the NFL Draft being over is that we have more information as we head into MFL10s and dynasty drafts than we did a few weeks ago. We’ll take a look at wide receivers and see how these drafts are shaking out as we make our way through May.
The Cincinnati Bengals had a relatively disheartening 2016 campaign, failing to make the playoffs for the first time in five years while recording their first losing season since Andy Dalton took over as the team’s starting QB. The off-season didn’t do much to quell fan’s anxiety, as the organization’s moves – or lack thereof – made it seem as if the team had regressed from their already disappointing season.
The 2017 NFL Draft, however, appeared to be a Godsend for as the team added some much needed speed on both sides of the ball, breathing new life into the lungs of the deflated Bengals Nation. Could any of these draft selections could wind up making a splash for your fantasy team this year? Let’s find out.
By the time you read this, the 2017 NFL Draft will have concluded, and for fantasy football enthusiasts, the ’17 fantasy season feels nearly upon us. Among the skill position players drafted in last Thursday’s First Round, one of the shiniest of shiny new toys for fantasy owners to pontificate is Carolina Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey. The NCAA record holder for single-season all purpose yardage, McCaffrey’s proverbial hype is justified. Just how much the rookie can help your fantasy team this season will likely be a heavily debated topic between now and September 10th, when McCaffrey’s Panthers kick off at San Francisco. Let’s take a look at how McCaffrey may measure up come fantasy football draft season. Continue reading Projecting Christian McCaffrey
Every fantasy football player is looking to find the next Jordan Howard, that late round selection from the NFL draft that under the right circumstances can become an integral part of a winning fantasy football team. Howard was a top 30 most winningest player from a season ago (you can check out the full list here) and underlined the importance of being able to find rookies that have found landing spots where production can be found, especially at the running back position. Running back is the lifeblood of any fantasy football contender and one of the most injury prone positions, so being able to find one that could bring consistent value either late in your draft or on the waiver wire can be a big time boost.
This season there are a variety of running backs that were drafted in the 4th round or later that should prove to be either every week starters or players that will have value at some point during the upcoming fantasy season. Some of these players will be falling into great situations and others are just too talented to be on the bench for the entire year. I’ll break down a few of these potential contributors for the 2017 fantasy football season.